Lake Central
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #39
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #9
Crown Point Regional Rank #4
Gavit Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Jack Bransford Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Gavit Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 495 656 581 528 535 494 648 491 546 523 467
Team Adjusted Rating 578 581 528 535 494 459 491 546 502 467
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jack Bransford Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Gavit Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
240  Hannah Roth 10 20:29 21:41 20:43 21:19 21:08 20:35 20:33 20:40 20:35 20:14
271  Rachel Kujawa 10 20:36 21:09 21:22 20:46 20:46 20:52 21:09 21:04 20:50 20:22
358  Gabrielle DeVries 11 20:55 22:15 21:14 20:40 22:24 20:44 20:36 22:00 20:40
387  Emily Thomas 9 21:00 21:13 20:56 21:28 21:04 22:10 21:08 21:25 20:39 21:18
389  Lillian Zubeck 10 21:01 21:03 21:10 20:43 20:40 20:36 21:02 20:46 22:20 21:16
391  Abigail Martisek 9 21:01 21:08 20:57 21:09 20:37 20:40 21:10 21:17 21:14
438  Samantha Dittrich 12 21:10 21:18 21:13 21:16 20:55 21:35 21:09 21:11 21:10 20:55
580  Riley Knestrict 9 21:34 21:32 21:20 21:47 21:27 21:26 21:31 21:43 21:41
1,150  Nova Olejnik 12 22:58 23:53 22:39 22:56 22:44 22:43 23:20
1,385  Lilly Rizzo 10 23:26 23:00 22:58 24:00 23:28 23:40
1,388  Elizabeth Reyes 10 23:26 23:14 23:57 22:53 23:44
Kaylee Hoffman 10 23:39 23:07 23:24 24:17




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 9.6 287 0.1 0.5 19.0 17.5 16.2 13.8 12.6 9.9 5.7 2.8 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.8 114 0.2 33.7 57.4 7.6 1.2
Sectionals 100% 1.6 46 35.5 64.6



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Roth 0.6% 130.3 0.6% 0.6%
Rachel Kujawa 0.0% 130.5 0.1% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Roth 100% 58.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 100.0%
Rachel Kujawa 100% 65.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Gabrielle DeVries 100% 83.0 97.9%
Emily Thomas 100% 87.9 95.3%
Lillian Zubeck 100% 88.8 95.2%
Abigail Martisek 100% 88.7 95.6%
Samantha Dittrich 100% 97.5 89.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Roth 100% 18.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.9 2.9 2.7 4.1 4.6 6.3 8.0 7.2 9.2 8.2 10.0 8.4 7.7 5.4 4.9 2.9 100.0%
Rachel Kujawa 100% 20.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.4 1.7 2.4 2.6 3.8 4.7 5.5 7.0 7.8 8.3 10.3 9.8 10.0 7.1 5.4 100.0%
Gabrielle DeVries 100% 26.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.8 1.7 2.5 3.8 4.5 6.7 7.6 10.0 100.0%
Emily Thomas 100% 28.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 1.2 1.9 1.6 3.1 4.5 5.1 7.1 100.0%
Lillian Zubeck 100% 28.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.3 1.7 2.9 3.4 4.9 7.3 100.0%
Abigail Martisek 100% 28.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 1.4 1.9 3.0 3.6 5.6 5.9 100.0%
Samantha Dittrich 100% 31.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.3 3.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Roth 5.9 2.0 4.1 5.6 8.3 13.6 17.5 19.9 14.9 8.5 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1
Rachel Kujawa 7.2 0.5 1.0 2.5 4.6 7.4 12.1 17.1 20.3 16.8 9.8 5.3 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1
Gabrielle DeVries 10.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.5 6.3 13.4 17.0 16.7 13.9 9.7 8.6 4.7 2.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
Emily Thomas 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.9 3.6 7.5 10.7 15.4 15.3 14.4 11.6 10.1 6.1 1.8 0.7 0.3
Lillian Zubeck 11.9 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.9 7.0 11.1 12.7 15.7 15.2 14.2 9.8 6.0 1.6 0.8 0.5
Abigail Martisek 11.9 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.2 3.0 6.1 10.9 12.6 17.1 15.9 13.7 9.7 5.3 2.7 0.9 0.3
Samantha Dittrich 13.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.2 4.2 7.1 10.3 14.4 18.2 17.6 14.8 5.8 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.1